The Burnham Bounce: Labour Overtakes Reform as PM Tackles Social Care

Andy Burnham's first week as Prime Minister has delivered the most dramatic polling shift in over a year: Labour has overtaken Reform UK for the first time since March 2025. A More in Common tracker survey shows Labour surging four points to 28%, while Reform slides to 24% — a reversal that has emboldened Burnham to announce an ambitious push on social care reform this week, declaring he will use "whatever political capital I have" to fix England's crumbling system.

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